Om Sri Ganeshaya Namaha

Om  Sri  Ganeshaya  Namaha
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Friday, August 31, 2012

S&P500 31st August 2012



Daily Chart 




Bears have the upper hand for the time being having broken the earlier minor low intraday at 1398. A break above 1410 is required for the bulls to get even with the bears.



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 31st August 2012




Daily Chart




  Half Hourly Chart



Nifty made a gap down open but recovered to close the gap and give a positive close above 5300.The gap at 5261 was marginally touched to 5255 but recovered fast enough to show bullishness exists above that level.The 55 day The green down trendline joining 5630-5348 was held well which now has support at 5250.

The falling channel on half hourly charts has been broken to the upside indicating some recovery to come. Nearly 50 % of the fall has already been recovered which proved good resistance.5345-5352 is strong resistance  being the minor high made yesterday and the 50% fibo retracememnt of the fall from 5448.

If the fall resumes support is at 5255-5216-5193.




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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 31st August 2012




Daily Chart



  Half Hourly Chart



The fall continued with a gap open but recovered soon enough to form a bullish engulfing pattern as Candle Chart Analysis and an Outside Day pattern as per Western Technical Analysis. Both patterns convey a drying up of the selling and a possible reversal of the downtrend.
Support on the blue trendline too held supporting a recovery.Daily stochastics has given a buy in the oversold one and intraday oscillators are showing strength after giving positive divergences.
 Resistance at 10133-10190-10260-10330.

Good support at 9909-9888-9834 .



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Thursday, August 30, 2012

S&P500 30th August 2012



Daily Chart




A string of dojis showing a stalemate between the bulls and bears.A break below 1398 or a break above 1426 is required  for momentum to pick up.



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 30th August 2012



Daily Chart 



Half Hourly Chart



5294 was broken with a long bearish candle on increased volumes.This indicates the fall may continue.Gap support at 5261 is the next test for the bulls.Positive divergences seen on half hourly charts.
Pullback will find resistance at 5325-5350.




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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 30th August 2012



Daily Chart



Half Hourly Chart



The fall continued and closed below yesterday's low.Pullback tried at open failed to materialise.Good support at 9905 -9888 which is a fibo cluster level.






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Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

S&P500 29th August 2012



 
Daily Chart





Two dojis in a row making lower high lower low. Trend deciders 1412-1391 for the very short term.


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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 29th August 2012



Daily Chart 





Half Hourly Chart 




 Fall continues with a decisive break below the important 5350 level..Supports at 5294-5261-5225-5216.A pullback started after finding support at 5313.   23.6%  at 5345 proved resistance and the Nifty closed below it. 
Only a cross above 5345-5350 will see some recovery.




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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 29th August 2012




Daily Chart 




 Half Hourly Chart 





 10056 which is the previous low made and the 200 dema  at 10072 were violated and the Bank Nifty has closed below the 200 dema. The gap at 10222-10140 has been closed. The fall seems to be getting deeper with the bears strengthening.A pullback is due and a sell on rise would be in order.




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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

S&P500 28th August 2012



Daily Chart 




Selling at highs forming a shooting star.Fall below 1398 will be the first sign of weakness.





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Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com

Reigning The Nifty 28th August 2012



 Daily Chart 



The fall continued reaching the first support of 5342  but managed to close exactly at the important level of 5350.The rising wedge is now broken decisively and could take the Nifty down to 5246. The gap support at 5261 should help the Nifty find support at these levels.

Half hourly oscillators are in the oversold region and may lead to a pullback.

 Half Hourly Chart 


 


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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 28th August 2012




 Daily Chart 




Bank Nifty continued the fall more furiously but on low volumes.The level to watch is 10056 which is the previous low made. The 200 dema is also around that level at 10072.A break below these levels will lead to the bulls surrendering and the bears strengthening.


 Half Hourly Chart 



 


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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Monday, August 27, 2012

S&P500 27th August 2012



Weekly Chart 




 
Daily Chart 




 Trend continues to be up though the uptrendline from 1329 lows made end of July has been broken turning the bias negative.Uptrendline from June lows has support at 1376 for the week and one could be safely long till this line is broken.
Negative divergence on weekly charts indicate some more pullback.





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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 27th August 2012




Weekly Chart 




Daily Chart 




The pink rising channel on daily charts was broken decisively and the weekly charts formed a shooting star both of which point towards a pullback.The negative divergences on Obv and oscillators on daily charts  have been signalling the same since a few days.

The tiny rising wedge on daily charts was broken intraday but close managed to be just within it.A trade above 5399 is required to avoid breaking it.5345 is support on the downtrendline from November 2010 highs joining February 2012 highs.A break below this will accelerate the downtrend.

 


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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 27th August 2012



Weekly Chart 



 
Daily Chart 



 
 The Bank Nifty failed to clear the downtrendline from November 2010 high passing through the February 2012 highs at 11226 and made a decisive breakout below the uptrendline from 10056.This make the bias negative.Only a move and close above 10560 will signal resumption of the upmove.
Oscillators too looking weak.
Fall below 10056 will increase the downward momentum.Good support at 9905 -9888 which is a fibo cluster level.

 



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Saturday, August 25, 2012

Reigning The Nifty 24th August 2012



Daily Chart 




Half Hourly Chart 




Nifty made a higher high and lower low thus making an Outside Day pattern which could lead to a reversal.Negative divergence on OBV and daily oscillaotrs persist.The green wedge shown on half hourly charts was broken and could lead to a test of the low made last Friday at 5342. Support at 5382-5393.

The downtrend channel breakout target of 5440 was achieved today.





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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 24th August 2012




Daily Chart 



 
 Half Hourly Chart 




Sideways consolidation continues. Support taken on the red uptrendline which now has support at 10437. Breakout above 10640 and 10272 needed to set direction.



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Thursday, August 23, 2012

S&P500 23rd August 2012



 Daily Chart 




The bias turned negative with a lower high lower low candle.The doji shows indecision. Longs should continue to hold till the red trendline holds.

 

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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 23rd August 2012



Daily Chart



Half Hourly Chart



Rising wedge formed in the last 10 days shown on daily charts in blue and on half hourly charts in red.This is a bearish pattern and in sync with the negative divergence on oscillators.A pullback would ensue once the support line at 5382 is broken.Resistance at 5438.





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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 23rd August 2012



Daily Chart



Half Hourly Chart 



Broke out of the triangle shown on half hourly charts but failed to maintain it.No change in the technicals.Resistance at 10600 and support at 10392 which will be the trend deciding levels.





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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Wednesday, August 22, 2012

S&P500 22nd August 2012




Daily Chart 




 An outside day after a hanging man. Both are reversal patterns occuring at strong resistance of previous tops.Negative divergence supports the same.




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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Bank Nifty 22nd August 2012




Daily Chart  




The Bank Nifty has taken good support on the red uptrendline from 10056.It also closed once again above the downtrendline joining 2010 and 2012 tops. Bulls need to scale the congestion formed at this area. 

 
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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 22nd August 2012



Daily Chart 



 
 Half Hourly Chart 




 I said  till the breakout from the symmetrical triangle is held well one needs to keep the bias bullish. Negative divergences notwithstanding, the Nifty made a good move above the congestion zone of 5342-5379 and closed above it after making a continuation diamond pattern.The target is 5455.The downtrending channel target was 5440.



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com 

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

S&P500 21st August 2012



Daily Chart 




Hanging man at resistance ! Today's candle should tell us whether it is indeed a reversal.


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Lakshmi Ramachandran
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Reigning The Nifty 21st August 2012




Weekly Chart 



 
Daily Chart 


 

Half Hourly Chart 



Weekly charts saw a third positive week in a row and maintaining the break out of the red symmetrical triangle giving a target of 6297. Breakout from the downtrendline joining 6338-5630 peaks is pending.A close above 5265 for the week will confirm this and Nifty should be on it's way to achieve the 6297 target.Oscillators are showing strength.

Daily Charts saw the Nifty break above the congestion zone of 5342-5379 but could not manage a close above the level.The breakout from the symmetrical triangle on daily charts was not celebrated since I was concentrating more on the 5342-5379 congestion zone getting cleared.It is worth mentioning now that the breakout has been held well and one should keep the bias bullish till it holds.
The pink uptrending channel has support at 5387 and breaking below this will be the first sign of weakness.Negative divergence on the OBV,Rsi14 and Macd suggest a pullback.

 Half hourly charts show a break below th euptrending channel from 5032.Negative divergences continue on oscillators.Fibonacci cluster at 5305 should be good support followed by 5267-5255-5235.



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com   

Reigning The Bank Nifty 21st August 2012



Weekly Chart 




Daily Chart 



Half Hourly Chart



The Bank Nifty failed to breakout from the 10056-10640 range which continues to be the immediate trend deciders.
Weekly charts show a negative bias with a close below the uptrendline from 10056.
  The huge resistance area of  10640-10782 proved  difficult to cross as anticipated but if successfully scaled a good upmove will ensue. 
Daily charts show the coiling getting tighter and breakout levels on the daily chart are 10375 and 10514.



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Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com   

Monday, August 20, 2012

S&P500 20th August 2012



Weekly Chart 





 Daily Chart 





Green falling wedge target of 1460 within reach ? Negative divergence on weekly charts may keep the bulls on their toes !


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Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com  

Friday, August 17, 2012

S&P500 17th August 2012



Daily Chart 



When everyone is bearish the S&P is bullish.What a tease ! 1422 is the next resistance.

This bearish rising wedge has the resistance line at 1443.


Daily Chart





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Happy Trading !!
Lakshmi Ramachandran
www.vipreetsafetrading.com